Rankin County
Rankin County voted R+47.1 for president in 2024, which is 24.2 points more Republican than the state. Black residents are 21.6% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
R+47.0
Model, statewide R+11.7
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
R+33.1
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+9.8
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
14.9 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #53 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | R+49.2 | R+19.0 | +30.2 | 51,630 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+42.6 | R+7.3 | +35.3 | 48,159 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | R+29.4 | R+5.1 | +24.3 | 46,654 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | R+50.0 | R+20.0 | +30.0 | 46,856 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | R+44.2 | R+15.7 | +28.5 | 46,724 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | R+45.4 | R+16.5 | +28.8 | 70,655 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+40.0 | R+10.0 | +30.0 | 70,481 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | R+32.2 | R+3.2 | +29.0 | 44,186 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | R+50.3 | R+21.5 | +28.8 | 43,613 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | R+41.0 | R+16.1 | +24.9 | 43,913 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | R+47.1 | R+22.9 | +24.2 | 69,678 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | R+49.8 | R+25.6 | +24.2 | 68,809 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 31.7% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Rankin outlined
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