Montgomery County
Montgomery County voted R+20.8 for president in 2024, which is 2.1 points more Democratic than the state. Black residents are 45.2% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
R+13.1
Model, statewide R+11.7
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
R+1.4
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+13.5
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
20.3 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #27 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | R+19.0 | R+19.0 | -0.1 | 3,840 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+8.7 | R+7.3 | +1.5 | 3,745 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | R+4.7 | R+5.1 | -0.4 | 3,886 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | R+15.7 | R+20.0 | -4.3 | 3,777 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | R+15.8 | R+15.7 | +0.1 | 3,825 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | R+15.7 | R+16.5 | -0.9 | 5,075 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+9.3 | R+10.0 | -0.7 | 5,088 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | R+0.5 | R+3.2 | -2.7 | 3,252 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | R+15.3 | R+21.5 | -6.2 | 3,201 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | R+8.7 | R+16.1 | -7.5 | 3,165 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | R+20.8 | R+22.9 | -2.1 | 4,424 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | R+22.8 | R+25.6 | -2.8 | 4,349 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 26.4% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Montgomery outlined
Get the Mississippi numbers in your inbox
A free weekly email with forecast updates, county shifts and new analysis, plus election-night alerts. Nonpartisan and data-first.
Free. Unsubscribe anytime.