Holmes County
Holmes County voted D+62.1 for president in 2024, which is 85.0 points more Democratic than the state. Black residents are 82.4% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
D+66.9
Model, statewide R+11.7
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
D+69.3
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+12.6
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
8.1 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #80 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | D+58.7 | R+19.0 | -77.7 | 5,375 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | D+71.3 | R+7.3 | -78.6 | 6,788 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | D+66.9 | R+5.1 | -72.0 | 6,440 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | D+46.6 | R+20.0 | -66.6 | 6,179 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | D+63.0 | R+15.7 | -78.7 | 6,338 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | D+64.3 | R+16.5 | -80.9 | 8,115 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | D+69.0 | R+10.0 | -79.0 | 8,064 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | D+70.2 | R+3.2 | -73.4 | 5,818 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | D+46.9 | R+21.5 | -68.3 | 5,718 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | D+57.0 | R+16.1 | -73.1 | 5,700 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | D+62.1 | R+22.9 | -85.0 | 6,730 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | D+56.4 | R+25.6 | -82.0 | 6,682 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 15.8% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Holmes outlined
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