Carroll County
Carroll County voted R+44.3 for president in 2024, which is 21.4 points more Republican than the state. Black residents are 34.5% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
R+33.7
Model, statewide R+11.7
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
R+19.1
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+14.9
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
26.1 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #8 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | R+40.7 | R+19.0 | +21.7 | 4,238 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+29.3 | R+7.3 | +22.1 | 4,039 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | R+28.6 | R+5.1 | +23.5 | 4,157 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | R+40.9 | R+20.0 | +20.9 | 4,080 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | R+40.5 | R+15.7 | +24.8 | 4,093 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | R+38.5 | R+16.5 | +22.0 | 5,701 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+31.3 | R+10.0 | +21.4 | 5,723 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | R+18.2 | R+3.2 | +15.0 | 3,824 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | R+36.0 | R+21.5 | +14.5 | 3,738 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | R+35.1 | R+16.1 | +19.0 | 3,701 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | R+44.3 | R+22.9 | +21.4 | 5,194 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | R+46.2 | R+25.6 | +20.6 | 5,124 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 29.4% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Carroll outlined
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