Bolivar County
Bolivar County voted D+23.7 for president in 2024, which is 46.6 points more Democratic than the state. Black residents are 63.2% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
D+34.4
Model, statewide R+11.7
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
D+40.6
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+16.1
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
17.8 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #40 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | D+23.9 | R+19.0 | -42.9 | 10,612 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | D+38.8 | R+7.3 | -46.1 | 10,885 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | D+35.1 | R+5.1 | -40.1 | 10,089 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | D+22.8 | R+20.0 | -42.9 | 9,699 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | D+27.3 | R+15.7 | -43.0 | 9,801 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | D+30.8 | R+16.5 | -47.3 | 13,744 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | D+36.5 | R+10.0 | -46.4 | 13,749 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | D+41.5 | R+3.2 | -44.8 | 8,386 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | D+27.1 | R+21.5 | -48.6 | 8,033 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | D+26.9 | R+16.1 | -43.0 | 7,964 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | D+23.7 | R+22.9 | -46.6 | 10,435 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | D+20.4 | R+25.6 | -46.0 | 10,301 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 20.8% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Bolivar outlined
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